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I am a consultant and analyst with eight years of military law enforcement experience, six years of analytical experience covering Latin America, and over seven years of analytical experience covering Mexican TCOs and border violence issues. This blog is designed to inform readers about current border violence issues and provide analysis on those issues, as well as detailed focus on specific border topics. By applying my knowledge and experience through this blog, I hope to separate the wheat from the chaff...that is, dispel rumors propagated by sensationalist media reporting, explain in layman's terms what is going on with Mexican TCOs, and most importantly, WHY violence is happening along the US-Mexico border.


With over a dozen years of combined experience in military law enforcement, force protection analysis, and writing a variety of professional products for the US Air Force, state government in California, and the general public, Ms. Longmire has the expertise to create a superior product for you or your agency to further your understanding of Mexico’s drug war. Longmire Consulting is dedicated to being on the cusp of the latest developments in Mexico in order to bring you the best possible analysis of threats posed by the drug violence south of the border.

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October 15, 2010


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Great analysis Sylvia...I have said from the beginning something smells fishy & it ain't the bass in Falcon Lake. I wish she would take a poly, that would help.


I’m not certain where all of this speculation about the wife being involved in the murder is coming from, given the reported fact that the sheriff has stated that he has a very credible third party witness who supports the wife’s account of what took place. My feelings are that we will probably never know what exactly took place, and for what reason (s), and frankly I there are many current events more compelling, and interesting that the media should contend with. Bottom line is this: if folks aren’t smart enough to know that there is a war going on down, and to stay the Hell away, don’t come complaining when their heads get chopped off.

@Fred - I think the problem comes in with the fact that the third party witness's account of the event doesn't match on several points with Tiffany's story. But I agree...we'll never know exactly what happened or why.

Solution to Stop "ALL" Cross Border Crime

An idea crossed my mind a while back which, if implemented, will virtually stop all cross border criminal activities (both directions). I have discussed this solution with peers, colleagues, friends and family, and all agree it is a solution that, although costly and immense in scope, is viable and sustainable. I contacted many media sources and government officials without much response and thought you might be interested in reading about this solution and perhaps sharing your thoughts about it with me.

This solution won’t be easy to accomplish (things worthwhile rarely are). Difficult, yes; impossible, no. We have the technology and the ability and, it will take time and a great deal of money to accomplish. Even so, there could be dramatic immediate results if done right. The cost will be high, yes, but what price do you put on the thousands of lives that could potentially be spared?

This project, if undertaken, will provide jobs for thousands upon thousands of workers at all levels on both sides of the border for many years to come during the establishing stage and thousands during the operational stage.

Imagine, a solution that not only stops practically all cross border crime, but one that creates thousands of jobs, stops the need for drug cartels to battle for turf killing innocent citizens, elected officials and themselves, while humanely stopping illegal immigration, reducing to a trickle trafficking of all kinds and, if done right, would reduce pollution, provide a reduction of cost for transportation of goods and create a functional and useful barrier instead of an ugly, ineffective fence.

This solution, which I call The "Grand" (taken from the Rio Grande) Canal is a functional canal extending from the Gulf of Mexico to the Pacific Ocean along the US/Mexican border following, for a large portion, the Rio Grande.

Think about it.

Fred Young

For Fred: any idea how many illegale activity crosses the Rio Grande daily?

For the blog owner: You are talking about "media hype". I would say, living in one of those hotspots, that 90 % of what happens never sees any media, not even narcoblog or borderland beat.

About the Hartleys: it smells to high heaven for all reasons already mentioned and more. That makes a case of mistaken identity very unlikely.

Well, this blog is a new one on me, Hello all.

I receive Stratfor info too so upon finding your blog, I looked for this story.

The part about the Stratfor story though which I find questionable is Stratfor seems to say the Zetas would have gotten onto the perpetrators of the Falcon Lake murder because they would be afraid of what the USA might do. It seems possible but not likely that because the Zetas accidentally killed someone, they would fear the force of the USA in Mexico, what would the USA do? Send a Pershing like expedition out down there?

As has been said, I don't know what to believe with stories we hear and if at times, stories could even be conjured up for some purposes.

Oh and while I agree that the Cartels are not going to be going after Americans willy-nilly, there was widespread press coverage in the US media that allegedly, six Americans died this past week in Cd. Juarez in separate instances and what has really become of the Embassy shooting some time ago?

I was somewhat stunned to see the Fox news report on the University of Texas El Paso students and according to them, all that happened was 2 students drove across the Mexican border with their car with I assume Texas license plates and the car next them started gunning at them. Again, can that be all to this story?? I'd really doubt UTEP students would have been involved in some shady activity in this case. Both students I believe had Hispanic names and a female student who had a class with one of them was interviewed but I'm not positive which station that was on.

To me, again, I would question Stratfor's assertion that the Zetas were scared about this event and so killed or disciplined the 'young guns' or hired sicarios. Though I guess, doing such activity would put more law enforcement on Falcon Lake. I'm still a skeptic.

It stuns me what goes on, I know Mexico has always things like this going on. Late '80s, a Marijuana plantation using slave labor was busted in the state of Chihuahua. A few years later, Mark Kilroy slain along the Southern Rio Grande area, I believe Matamoros area.

And Juarez back in the '80s, even when the phenomenon of the Femicidios was starting to happen by most accounts, I remember there was violence back then. The villains back then in little wars comparatively between Pri and Pan politicians and abuses were thought to be the work of the Judicial State Police.

I think there was some sort of situation where the Judicial Police or someone like that were trying to kill a PAN Mayoral Candidate in Juarez and instead ended up killing some of his family.

So, the foundation of the violence that is occurring in my opinion was set some time ago but of course, much more intense now.

I could hardly believe on a sports note, that the Mexican soccer team played Venezuela in a friendly game in Juarez here in the past month or so.


Lastly, I will have to read your blog, Ed Vulliamy is coming out with a book "War along the Borderline", I'm sure you have heard about it. It was just reviewed in the NY Times.

The NY Times story is insightful on questioning some of Vulliamy's pretenses. Now, back in the late '90s, I read Ed Vulliamy's book on Bosnia and there may be similarities in the two situations. Vulliamy, from what I can tell seems to be from the United Kingdom. I believe stories of his can be found on the web about his first visit to Mexico some 12 years or so ago concerning the situation of the women disappearing in Juarez. Sharp writer but as the NY Times article alludes to, probably not the best thing to accept all he says.

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