My Photo
I am a consultant and analyst with eight years of military law enforcement experience, six years of analytical experience covering Latin America, and over seven years of analytical experience covering Mexican TCOs and border violence issues. This blog is designed to inform readers about current border violence issues and provide analysis on those issues, as well as detailed focus on specific border topics. By applying my knowledge and experience through this blog, I hope to separate the wheat from the chaff...that is, dispel rumors propagated by sensationalist media reporting, explain in layman's terms what is going on with Mexican TCOs, and most importantly, WHY violence is happening along the US-Mexico border.

Longmire_square

With over a dozen years of combined experience in military law enforcement, force protection analysis, and writing a variety of professional products for the US Air Force, state government in California, and the general public, Ms. Longmire has the expertise to create a superior product for you or your agency to further your understanding of Mexico’s drug war. Longmire Consulting is dedicated to being on the cusp of the latest developments in Mexico in order to bring you the best possible analysis of threats posed by the drug violence south of the border.

Follow DrugWarAnalyst on Twitter

« What really happened to the Hartleys on Falcon Lake? | Main | "Firearms watchdog on short leash." »

October 18, 2010

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

This is very interesting, but it's also saddening, the fact we may never know what happened to these people, I do hope they are able to find them alive and well and it's all just one big misunderstanding.

If you're in the middle of a turf war and you see 20 unknown guys stuffed in four cars riding in a convoy . . . . . yeah, I can see how someone would look at that and say 'somebody's trying to muscle in. We'll show them!'. DOH!

Sylvia ... the "missing 20" in Acapulco does add up - but as you correctly pointed out, it doesn't add up to the story that the Mexican Government wants the public to hear.

First, let's face it - the Mexican economy is in serious trouble. The revenues they have received from oil production over the last decade are now dwindling fast. Therefore, Calderon is doing everything he can to stimulate local business ... including tourism. The last thing that Mexican Gov't needs is news of a massacre of 20 unarmed tourists in one of their major tourist centers (Acapulco). That is apparently what happened.

The REAL message is that the cartels have boosted their surveillance activities to very high levels. Think about it. Twenty strangers arrived in several vehicles in Acapulco, and in less than an hour they were identified, selected as a potential threat, and kidnapped at gunpoint. This incident shows that the complex network of informants that are being run by the cartels is very sophisticated and active in its operations - and so is the enforcement capability.

It's too bad that some of these 20 victims didn't try to make a break for it. If they had all split up and run in different directions, some of them might have lived. Tragically, the presumption is that these men have probably been killed.

Thanks for posting this...

Although we will never likely find out what occurred to the missing individuals I’m interesting in who knew about their trips from both the points of origin and destination.

As one of your commentators noted, there appears an indication that a well placed informant network exists. Where that network exists is another story…and one that is muddled since it appears all the missing persons left the same point of origin. So, through whom would all these person coordinate their trips? Who would have known the vehicles they were driving and how many people were traveling together…etc?

At the point of destination…who coordinated their arrivals…who had access to that information..etc…? Those appear to the two starting points I would begin looking into based on the information provided in the article you cite.

Cheers

Mexico Security Memo: Nov. 1, 2010
November 1, 2010 2006 GMT
Links emerged between La Familia Michoacana and a group of 20 people kidnapped in Acapulco in early October. (With STRATFOR interactive map) [more]

Comments please, I do not have access to the full transcript.
Thank you.

@Bill - I have the full transcript, and will post an update probably later this evening.

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Working...
Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been saved. Comments are moderated and will not appear until approved by the author. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.

Working...

Post a comment

Comments are moderated, and will not appear until the author has approved them.