My Photo
I am a consultant and analyst with eight years of military law enforcement experience, six years of analytical experience covering Latin America, and over seven years of analytical experience covering Mexican TCOs and border violence issues. This blog is designed to inform readers about current border violence issues and provide analysis on those issues, as well as detailed focus on specific border topics. By applying my knowledge and experience through this blog, I hope to separate the wheat from the chaff...that is, dispel rumors propagated by sensationalist media reporting, explain in layman's terms what is going on with Mexican TCOs, and most importantly, WHY violence is happening along the US-Mexico border.

Longmire_square

With over a dozen years of combined experience in military law enforcement, force protection analysis, and writing a variety of professional products for the US Air Force, state government in California, and the general public, Ms. Longmire has the expertise to create a superior product for you or your agency to further your understanding of Mexico’s drug war. Longmire Consulting is dedicated to being on the cusp of the latest developments in Mexico in order to bring you the best possible analysis of threats posed by the drug violence south of the border.

Follow DrugWarAnalyst on Twitter

« UPDATE: Police blotter entry claimed to be proof of Laredo ranch takeover | Main | "What's behind Mexican migrant killings still unclear." »

August 27, 2010

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

From your request, you, like many other Americans, seem to think that this "war" is happening only in Mexico and that the causes are Mexican alone. In my novel "An Inconsequential Murder", (http://www.untreedreads.com/?s=An+Inconsequential+Murder)I argue that no one seems willing to discuss the real cause of the "War" which is the rampant consumption of drugs in the US. Also, no one wants to talk about how the conservative elements both in the US and Mexico have thwarted any discussion of legalization of the less dangerous drugs such as marijuana (which would greatly reduce the money the cartel get as well as decriminalize something that is the equivalent of the alcohol industry in terms of social and health problems.) Also, the conservatives have managed to put up walls, send more and more guns to Mexico (via law enforcement AND the gangs themselves by allowing gun merchants to sell them guns), and no one talks about spending money on drug use prevention.

Hollywood and television are free to glamorize drug use but not a penny is spent on showing kids the awful uses of the money they spend on cocaine (How about a commercial that shows the heads of men executed by a gang and then saying "This is what you paid for?).

Two of my children live in Mexico. They are in harms way but they have decided to stay while a lot of rich people have left. After 9/11, the American people were asked to "go on with their lives" because if they didn't, that would be a triumph for the terrorist. I say the same for Mexicans. And THAT is what you should write about too in your book: the courage of the ordinary Mexican that go on with their lives in spite of the violence.

@Roberto - Thanks so much for your comment. And actually, I am writing about all of the issues you mentioned in my book. I was also quoted in a recent AOL News story saying that I found it ridiculous that the US govt can't even entertain the thought of entering into the DEBATE of legalization when the Mexican govt is, and we're the cause of the drug trafficking problem. Here's a link to the story: http://bit.ly/czILsl

I believe the massacre of the 72 migrants in Tamaulipas will be a watershed event in the war in Mexico. I would really appreciate your analysis of that incident (actually I am surprised you have not been all over it yet). IT is one that clarly indicates taht this is more than a drug war, but a full war on Mexican institutions at every level. I ownder also what could be behind all this politically..

@Joselo - I'm actually hoping to get to posting on the massacre later today. I've been swamped with other things (family stuff and working on my book), so unfortunately I've had less time to post here. I have the article all set aside, so hopefully by late this afternoon you'll see my take on it.

Sylvia ... I would think that if you post a question in Spanish on some of the blogs in Mexico - you would get answers about the impact on peoples' lives. I don't think people will state any specifics that might bring trouble, but they might be willing to discuss the changes in their own daily patterns.

The murder of the mayor of Hidalgo over the weekend is very troubling. So are the proliferation of car bombs directed against TV stations, and the disappearance of the investigators who were in charge of the case of the 72 dead migrants. It really all gives the impression that President Calderon doesn't have much control in the northern states.

P.

Hi,
I'm currently living in Mexico (Monterrey, Nuevo Leon) and I'm a avid reader of your blog, I've lived in Mexico all of my life mainly in Reynosa Tamaulipas, my family was victim of political violence in 2008 when my father was murdered by another union political party from his hospital (he was a doctor working for the hospital union), so violence has been a a very touchy subject for me and my family, the last 3 year have not been kind to anybody in Mexico, our morale is in an all time low and the mistrust of our goverment has been at an all time high, going out for drinks at night is practically a taboo subject matter a lot of bars and night clubs are dead, you can turn on the TV without hearing about an execution and worst of all in Reynosa the media is completly dead a person in monterrey is more likely to know more about the murders occurring in reynosa than a person from that city, Twitter is user a lot to warn people about shootings in a lot of cities.
Worst of all is our morale; you basically can't have a conversation without the conversation going towards the current violence. I hope this is helpful I can give you a few stories if you need them, Thanks for reading.

I am a Mexican married to a Texan living in the California for six years. I entered the country illegally first, when I was 17, then I came back to Mexico, and reentered the US some years later. I'm writing while watching Glen Beck on TV, it makes me sad knowing that so many people follow his believes. Why I came to the US the first time? Why I decided to come "illegally"? Not because of lack of opportunities, although there were not many, not because I really believed the "american dream". I came because it was an option, because members of my family had done it, because you are constantly feed with American culture through media and learn to believe it is cool. Is my life better? Who knows. Sometimes I think life is actually harder in this side of the border. You can live nicely but you have to work a lot, be under constant stress and sacrifice family time. I miss the simple life around your beloved ones, parents, siblings, and long lasting friendships. As a Mexican, first thing the strikes me when I read or heard what US people think of the "Drug War" is the sense of both superiority and distance towards a problem of both nations and both societies, as if people killed the news show has nothing do do with us. How many people died for Paris Hilton can have enough doses for her recreational habit? How many weekend Paris Hilton less richer are there? She'll get into "rehab", will be forgiven, and nothing else will be said about it. Why does Mexico has a drug war? For our geographical position, for our bad administration, for our apathetic tendency. Mexicans has to stop being the back door of the US, have to learn from the past and chose better politicians, and more than anything have to get involved. What US people (I refuse using the term Americans) have to do? They have to make their authorities decide if persecuting drug use or legalizing it; and if they choose the first option, persecuting effectively at ALL levels. The reason there is not a drug war here is nobody is going after the big names. Small crimes are more or less controlled and people have a feeling of being safe. Mexico had just that until recent years. I felt safe while living there when I was young, nobody cared about those other "businesses" of politicians nor knew anything about it. Have you seen the most recent FBI most wanted list? Terrorists and small time criminals. Somehow only foreigners, color people or "white trash" manage to distribute and administrate the most lucrative business there is from coast to coast. When I talk to my folks they are very calm, as if nothing were happening, they even advise me not to listen to the news anymore, specially those coming from Mexico, because they are making the problem appear bigger. Of course, they are from a small town where thank God nothing happens. I trust Mexico will get a lot better, that deeds will be finally done. Why did I cross the border illegally back then? Because I don't believe in them. Nationalities are accidental, people is people wherever you go. If other people have overcome even worst scenarios, why not us Mexicans? We are just people, struggling, dreaming, working, going along. Only idiots like Glen Beck would believe that only the territories between Canada and Mexico can become the promised land.

I would like to thank Ivan for sharing a bit about how and why he ended up here in the good Ole USA. I believe he was quite truthful in his stated reasoning, because I have heard much the same from others many times over the years. While I don’t agree with everything he stated I none the less very much respect and appreciate his truthfulness, and willingness to share. Sadly his words here will be read by few, and understood by fewer yet. Therein lies not only the problem, but the allusive answer to what we know as Illegal Immigration. I’m quite certain that if Ivan and I were to set by a small fire and share a can of beans or Tuna, that we’d leave that fire as friends, and with a better understanding of each other. We’d leave that fire with each other’s scent locked firmly within to draw on when times might not be as pleasant. While we as just two people would solve no worldly problems the two of us would be at peace, and that in it’s self is a start.
We, as a nation have spent untold fortunes over the past twenty years arming and fortifying our shared border with Mexico, attempting by force to address a problem largely of economics and of misunderstandings. We have spent billions building huge fences and mega Border Patrol stations, but we have spent nothing, neither time nor money even attempting to understand what it is that we are so supposedly set against. The turmoil that we are seeing in Mexico has it’s roots dug deeply in this failure to understand: that the ‘’Ivan’s’’ are not the problem, never have been…..they are the result.
Probably everyone of the few who might read this will label me as an ‘’Open Borders Liberal’’ ….everyone but Ivan that is.

Fred

Thanks for the comment Fred, and like you said, I'm not alone. a lot of people of different backgrounds have suffered some way or another, just a few days ago a cousin living here in monterrey got robed at gun point by armed men in two trucks that cut I'm off, the only thing he remembers is the saying "It's not him, what do we do now?" this made us think, either they were hired guns looking for someone else and decided to rob him instead or they were simple thieves that wanted to capitalize on the current fear. This is just one story from one middle class family, and this is simply an everyday occurrence here in Mexico.

The comments to this entry are closed.